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Reimagining Investment Banking with AI:
From Market Risk to Regulatory Compliance

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AI is transforming investment banking, bringing speed, intelligence, and adaptability to an industry long constrained by legacy systems. For decades, it has relied on legacy systems to power mission-critical functions—from pricing complex instruments to managing liquidity and regulatory reporting. These systems have delivered reliability, but at a cost: inflexibility, high maintenance burdens, and slow adaptation to changing market dynamics.

Now, Artificial Intelligence (AI) is emerging as a catalyst for change. With advanced capabilities in machine learning (ML), natural language processing (NLP), and predictive analytics, AI is helping banks modernize legacy systems, streamline treasury operations, and navigate increasingly stringent regulatory requirements.

Having spent more than six years working on investment banking projects in market risk and treasury, I’ve observed both the challenges and the potential of AI firsthand. This article explores how AI is reshaping investment banking, particularly in legacy modernization, risk management, treasury optimization, and regulatory reporting.

Legacy Applications: The Bottleneck and the Opportunity

Legacy systems, often built on COBOL or mainframes, still form the backbone of investment banks. They process massive trade volumes daily, but their rigidity poses several challenges:

  • Rigid Workflows: Adding a new stress-testing scenario or risk methodology can take months because system architectures are tightly coupled.

  • Data Silos: Market risk, treasury, and compliance often operate on different platforms, making consistent data integration difficult.

  • Manual Processing: Reconciliations and report compilation still demand significant effort, raising operational risk.

  • High Costs: Maintaining and upgrading these systems absorbs significant IT budgets, often leaving little room for innovation.

AI Provides a Middle Path

Instead of tearing down legacy systems completely, a costly and risky move, banks can overlay AI-powered tools that interact with existing infrastructure. For example:

  • AI middleware bots can automatically extract and standardize data from disparate systems.

  • Cloud-based AI engines can provide advanced analytics while keeping transactional data anchored in legacy platforms.

  • Process automation allows repetitive manual tasks to be performed by AI-powered bots, reducing costs and freeing employees for higher-value work.

This layered approach enables banks to achieve modernization without full system replacement, a “renovation without demolition.”

AI in Market Risk Management

Market risk functions are tasked with monitoring exposure to interest rate fluctuations, credit spreads, FX volatility, and equity movements. Traditional models, built on linear assumptions, can’t keep up with volatile, nonlinear markets. AI closes that gap:

1. Smarter Risk Models with AI

Traditional Value-at-Risk (VaR) models rely heavily on historical correlations and assumptions of normal distributions. AI, by contrast, can:

  • Capture Nonlinear Patterns: ML models analyze millions of data points (tick data, volatility clusters, correlations) and capture complex patterns that traditional regressions miss.

  • Identify Tail Risks: Deep learning techniques help estimate extreme losses by simulating market events beyond the historical dataset.

  • Adapt Dynamically: AI models evolve as new market data flows in, improving accuracy over time.

Example: A global bank used ML algorithms to recalibrate its VaR models, resulting in more accurate risk capture during sudden market shocks like COVID-19-driven volatility.

2. Real-Time Risk Monitoring

Legacy risk engines batch-process exposures overnight. AI-powered monitoring enables near-instantaneous insights:

  • Intraday Exposure Tracking: Algorithms detect sudden position changes across portfolios.

  • Anomaly Detection: AI flags unusual trading behaviors or market anomalies before they escalate.

  • Visualization Dashboards: Risk managers can interact with AI-driven dashboards showing stress-test outcomes in real time.

This shift from delayed to real-time risk insight enables faster escalation and smarter decision-making.

3. Regulatory Stress Testing

Stress-testing exercises like CCAR (US) or EBA stress tests (EU) require banks to simulate thousands of macroeconomic scenarios. AI simplifies this by:

  • Scenario Generation: ML models generate diverse, realistic stress scenarios using both historical and synthetic data.

  • Accelerated Simulations: AI accelerates simulations that once took weeks to complete.

  • Transparent Validation: AI tools validate assumptions in regulatory models, improving audit readiness.

AI in Treasury Operations

Treasury plays a vital role in ensuring liquidity, managing capital, and optimizing balance sheet efficiency. Yet, outdated systems still restrict dynamic forecasting and reconciliation. AI provides smarter, data-driven alternatives.


1. Liquidity Forecasting

Treasury teams traditionally rely on spreadsheets and historical averages for liquidity forecasting. AI enhances this by:

  • Multi-Variable Predictions: Incorporates market volatility, payment patterns, seasonal variations, and geopolitical risks.

  • Dynamic Buffers: Maintains optimal liquidity buffers, minimizing both underfunding and overfunding risks.

  • Predictive Alerts: Notifies teams of potential shortfalls days or weeks in advance.

Example: A European bank implemented AI-driven liquidity forecasting, reducing unnecessary capital reserves by 12%, which freed up billions for lending.

2. Cash Flow Optimization

AI analyzes vast datasets of incoming and outgoing flows, enabling treasurers to:

  • Anticipate mismatches between cash inflows and outflows.

  • Optimize funding decisions, avoiding costly last-minute borrowing.

  • Identify inefficiencies across subsidiaries and geographies.

3. Automated Reconciliation

Reconciliation is one of the most labor-intensive treasury activities. AI reduces this by:

  • Using NLP to parse unstructured messages (emails, SWIFT instructions).

  • Automatically matching transactions across multiple ledgers.

  • Flagging discrepancies with explanations, reducing manual intervention.

This reduces both processing time and reconciliation errors.

AI in Regulatory Reporting

With frameworks like Basel III, MiFID II, and FRTB, banks face mounting data and documentation challenges. Here, AI automates extraction, validation, and reporting, transforming compliance from reactive to proactive.

1. Data Extraction and Cleansing

Regulatory reports require pulling data from multiple systems, risk engines, treasury books, and trading platforms. AI can:

  • Automate ETL (Extract, Transform, Load) processes.

  • Identify Data Quality Issues: AI flags missing, inconsistent, or duplicated records.

  • Standardize Reporting Inputs: Ensuring that numbers across departments align.

This minimizes manual effort and improves accuracy across submissions.


2. Natural Language Generation (NLG)

Many regulatory reports require narrative explanations in addition to numbers. AI-driven NLG tools can automatically generate:

  • Summaries of liquidity coverage ratios or capital adequacy.

  • Explanations for significant risk movements.

  • Draft commentaries for senior management and regulators.

Compliance officers can then validate and refine these narratives instead of writing them from scratch.


3. RegTech Integration

AI-driven RegTech solutions are enabling continuous compliance:

  • Real-Time Monitoring: Systems automatically check trade activities against rules (e.g., MiFID transaction reporting).

  • Template Alignment: AI ensures reporting aligns with the latest regulator-prescribed templates.

  • Predictive Compliance: Identifies emerging compliance risks before they lead to fines.

AI as a Bridge Between Legacy and Modernization

The misconception that banks must abandon legacy systems to adopt AI is fading. Instead, AI serves as a bridge between traditional infrastructure and modernization. Rather than replacing entire systems, banks are layering AI to work alongside existing architectures, using middleware bots, cloud analytics, and automation to modernize incrementally.

  • Middleware AI bots interact with mainframes, extracting and structuring data without rewriting the codebase.

  • Cloud-based AI analytics operate in parallel, providing real-time dashboards and insights.

  • Targeted Modernization: Banks can start with focused use cases, like reconciliations or liquidity forecasting, before scaling AI enterprise-wide.

This hybrid approach balances stability with innovation, preserving core reliability while unlocking new efficiency and insight.

Looking Ahead: The Future of AI in Investment Banking

The AI journey in investment banking is still evolving. In the coming years, we can expect:

  • Generative AI in Compliance Automatically drafting regulatory submissions, risk policies, and management commentaries.

  • Explainable AI (XAI): Providing transparent, auditable decision-making models for regulators and supervisors.

  • AI-Driven Digital Twins: Building virtual replicas of portfolios and balance sheets to test strategies in simulated environments.

  • Personalized Insights: Delivering role-specific intelligence to traders, treasurers, and risk managers.

AI won’t replace human judgment in banking but will augment it, providing richer insights and reducing operational burdens.

Conclusion

AI is redefining the foundation of investment banking—enhancing risk modeling, optimizing treasury operations, and streamlining regulatory compliance. For professionals in market risk and treasury, the benefits are clear: accelerated insights, improved accuracy, and greater agility in responding to both market volatility and regulatory change.

Banks that embrace AI not only improve operational efficiency but also will lead the next era of intelligent, resilient banking.

McLaren Strategic Solutions helps organizations navigate this transformation. Connect with our experts to explore AI-enabled modernization strategies that unlock efficiency, insights, and compliance across your investment banking operations.

About the Author: Ujwala has over 13 years of experience working with renowned organizations, primarily in the Banking and Financial Services domain. She currently manages one of McLaren’s key projects, ORIX, where her strong leadership and client-focused approach have fostered trust and strengthened collaboration and engagement between the client and McLaren Strategic Solutions.

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